55 year-old Daba Lawson is five years from retirement, and is still
smarting from her experience in the Nigerian stock market since 2008.
Daba like so many of us got caught up in the euphoria of the bull-run.
One of her young friends had taken a margin facility to leverage her
stock portfolio and had enjoyed huge successes. Her friend urged Daba to
borrow from her bank to buy shares, and for two years she realised huge
“paper” profits in her portfolio.
Then the market changed, and at the time of the downturn, Daba had
almost all of her money in stocks. Daba’s friend advised her to “hang in
there” and things would soon rebound. The stockmarket decline continued
unabated and in Daba panicked and sold all her stocks to pay off her margin loan; she lost about 65% of her money.
Daba tried to try to recoup at least some of the huge losses she
sustained during the stockmarket crash and decided to put what was left
in a fixed deposit and earned 14% per annum for about a year. She vowed
never to touch the stock market again. Now Daba has a new problem; all
her money is still in the money market and she is earning only 3.75% per
annum. Daba moved from an all-stock portfolio to an all-cash portfolio
both extreme and extremely risky, neither of which will help her achieve
her financial goals and objectives.
Like Daba, many investors overreacted to the volatile market conditions
and completely abandoned the stockmarket during the steep decline.
Whilst this may have brought them some temporary peace-of-mind, unless
they consider a more diversified portfolio that includes assets that
have some prospect of growth, the long-term effect may be just as
damaging.
It is important that investors balance fear and risk against
the likelihood of achieving their financial goals. This involves a
process of gradually moving to a more balanced asset allocation.
Don’t put all your eggs in one basket
Daba has sought advice from her financial advisor who has pointed out
that as most of her retirement savings are in the money market, it is
unlikely that her retirement fund will keep apace with inflation. Unless
she diversifies her portfolio and considers going back into the
stockmarket but with careful thought and a tested strategy this time,
she has little prospect of achieving the retirement she envisaged for
herself. As Daba is still very risk averse, and really doesn’t have the
time nor the expertise to select stocks herself, it is recommended that
she should re-enter the market through an equity mutual fund. This
provides her with a diversified portfolio, which is managed by
professionals.
Consider a cost averaging strategy
This time, however, Daba will avoid making any single big move into
stocks, but will do so gradually using a cost averaging strategy. This
involves investing a certain sum regularly into a carefully selected
equity fund that focuses on investing in blue chip growth stocks. By
drip-feeding her funds into the stock market she feels more comfortable;
she is also putting away each month only what she can comfortably
afford from her monthly income. Fortunately she is earning enough to be
able to afford to invest N50,000 a month by direct debit from her salary
account so she is not tempted to spend it. She has also promised
herself that this is her retirement nest egg and she wont be touching it
for several years. A long-term perspective is what is required for the
stock market, which has historically out-performed other investments
over the long-term. She is under no illusion that she must cut back on
her spending and might even have to delay retirement and she is prepared
to so this so that she does.
What is your money personality?
It is important to know your money personality. Are you risk-averse and
feel over anxious or even panic when you learn that the value of your
investments has gone down? Or are you able to stay fairly relaxed as the
value of your investment fluctuates with the ongoing market volatility?
You might on the other hand be one of those people that can sit back
calmly during the market swings and stick with your long-term strategy
even if you face short-term losses. These are all questions to answer as
you develop your strategy. Do you have a strategy at all? Risk is a
natural part of investing; it is thus important to understand what the
risks are.
Investor confidence has suffered a great deal in Nigeria and indeed all
over the world. Fearful of the stock market, many retirees or those
close to retirement have shunned traditional investment vehicles like
stocks and mutual funds. It is true that anyone invested in the stock
market is bound to lose money from time to time, yet those who retained
some exposure to equities amid the peak of the global financial crisis
are likely to have ended up better off on average, than those who
reduced their equity exposure to zero. Understanding your personal risk
tolerance will help you create a sound financial plan that you can stick
with through both good times and bad.
source:moneymatterswithnimi.com
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